Reform UK Adviser Sparks Backlash Over Proposal to Double Wheat Prices

A farming adviser linked to Nigel Farage has triggered controversy after suggesting that government trade policy could be used to double wheat prices—an idea critics warn would significantly raise food costs during an ongoing cost-of-living crisis.

Clive Bailye, an arable farmer and newly appointed farming and land use adviser for Reform UK, said stronger trade measures could rapidly increase the price farmers receive for wheat. Bailye, who also runs The Farming Forum and has been active in farmer-led protests, claimed the solution to improving agricultural returns was straightforward if there was sufficient political will.

He has reportedly been working alongside James Orr to help shape the party’s agricultural strategy ahead of the next general election. Bailye indicated he had played a significant role in drafting policy proposals and expressed confidence in the direction being developed.

However, the proposal has drawn sharp criticism from campaigners and political opponents, who argue that higher wheat prices would inevitably translate into more expensive staple foods like bread. Guy Shrubsole described the idea as “extraordinary,” especially at a time when households are already struggling with rising living costs and global pressures on food production.

Food prices in the UK have climbed steeply in recent years, rising nearly 40% between late 2020 and 2025 due to factors including the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Ongoing geopolitical tensions have also pushed up fertiliser costs, further straining the agricultural sector.

The debate comes as Reform UK seeks to strengthen its support among rural voters, many of whom have expressed dissatisfaction with recent government policies affecting farmers. Issues such as inheritance tax changes, reduced subsidies, and increased costs have left many farms under financial pressure, with a significant number reportedly operating at a loss.

Political rivals have also weighed in. Tim Farron warned that such a policy could have unintended consequences, including higher feed costs for livestock farmers and potential retaliatory tariffs that could damage British agricultural exports.

Despite the controversy, Reform UK clarified that Bailye’s comments do not represent official party policy. A spokesperson emphasized that the party does not support measures that would increase food prices for consumers. Instead, they said the party aims to improve food security and support domestic farmers through fair trade policies, while consulting a broad range of industry voices.

As discussions continue, the proposal has intensified debate over how best to balance farmer support with affordability for consumers, highlighting the complex challenges facing the UK’s agricultural and economic landscape.