‘Positive progress’ made in Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire talks, US envoy says

November 20, 2024
Smoke rises from the town of Khiam in southern Lebanon on 20 November amid continuing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel. Photograph: Karamallah Daher/Reuters

Following negotiations in Beirut to put an end to 13 months of combat between Israel and Hezbollah, US ambassador Amos Hochstein stated that there is "positive progress" for a ceasefire in Lebanon.

Following Hezbollah's indication that it has accepted the text of a US ceasefire plan, albeit with significant modifications, Hochstein has spent the last two days meeting with Lebanese authorities. He expressed confidence regarding an agreement between Israel and Hezbollah on Tuesday, saying that the differences between the two groups had "narrowed."

Hochstein will meet Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, on Thursday.

Fighting between Israel and Hezbollah started on 8 October 2023 after Hezbollah launched rockets at northern Israel “in solidarity” with Hamas’s attack the day before. The two sides engaged in low-grade, tit-for-tat fighting until late September, when Israel launched an intense aerial campaign across Lebanon and a ground incursion in the south. Since then, almost all of Hezbollah’s senior leadership has been killed and the group has faced continual losses on and off the battlefield.

Over the past week, Lebanese, Israeli and US officials have said that a ceasefire was increasingly possible – though the details of what that would entail are not yet clear.

Central to ceasefire negotiations is the presence of Hezbollah in Lebanon’s south and its sway over the country in general, the politics of which it has dominated for the past decade.

Israel has said it wants Hezbollah to be pushed back beyond the Litani River, 20 miles away from its border, as a form of security guarantee for people in northern Israel, tens of thousands of whom have been displaced by Hezbollah rocket fire over the past year.

It had previously also said it wanted the power to unilaterally enforce a ceasefire agreement, which would give it de facto permission to carry out airstrikes in Lebanon at will. The Lebanese speaker of the house, Nabih Berri, said last Tuesday that “no sane person” would agree to such a condition.

Israel and western mediators have pointed to an increased presence of the army in south Lebanon as a way of ensuring Hezbollah does not build up its arsenal along the border, as it did after the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war. Hezbollah has not objected to this proposal publicly.

In a speech shortly after the conclusion of Hochstein’s visit, Naim Qassem, Hezbollah’s secretary general, said the group was working on “two tracks, the field and the negotiations”, and would not stop fighting until a ceasefire was signed.

He said his group would not accept any truce that allowed Israel to enter Lebanon “whenever it wants”.

In the days leading up to Hochstein’s visit, Israel escalated its attacks on Lebanon, striking central Beirut three times in 24 hours after a break of more than a month. Hezbollah, in turn, launched missiles at Tel Aviv and attacked five military bases in Haifa.

Initially, Hezbollah said that its purpose in attacking Israel was to force a ceasefire in Gaza – and refused to enter into negotiations before that was achieved. However, the killing of its senior leadership and thousands of its members, in addition to the continual progress Israeli forces have made in south Lebanon, has led the group to abandon a Gaza ceasefire as a prerequisite for negotiations.

On Wednesday, Qassem said: “Our second battle after the battle to support Gaza began two months ago … which is to repel the comprehensive aggression against Lebanon.”

The fighting in Lebanon over the past year has killed 3,544 people, displaced 1.2 million, and destroyed swathes of south Lebanon. The World Bank said the conflict had so far cost Lebanon $8.5bn.